Voting for the Hottest 100 has officially closed, and we’re just days away from finding out what song has topped triple j’s annual countdown. A couple of weeks back, the broadcaster warned that the race was incredibly tight – at that moment, only 125 votes separated the top two songs.
As per usual, vote aggregator 100 Warm Tunas has been predicting the full countdown using votes posted across social media. It’s been an accurate resource over the years, correctly predicting a handful of winners and generally giving a good picture of what the top 20 will look like.
Flume feat. MAY-A: ‘Say Nothing’
At the time of writing, Warm Tunas is predicting Flume and MAY-A’s ‘Say Nothing’ to top the countdown, just ahead of Gang of Youths’ ‘in the wake of your leave’ and Ball Park Music’s ‘Stars In My Eyes’. Spacey Jane’s ‘Hardlight’, Gorillaz’s ‘New Gold’, and Fred Again..’s ‘Delilah (pull me out of this)’ round out the top five.
100 Warm Tunas currently has Lime Cordiale’s ‘Country Club’ coming in at number 100, Blink-182’s ‘Edging’ at #77, Jack Harlow’s ‘First Class’ at #64 and Beyoncé’s ‘Cuff It’ and ‘Break My Soul’ at #53 and #49 respectively. The predicted top 50 includes tracks by Peach PRC, Lizzo, King Stingray, G Flip, The Smith Street Band, Bring Me the Horizon, Teen Jesus and the Jean Teasers, Vance Joy and Baker Boy ft. Bernard Fanning.
The Wiggles scored victory in 2022 with their Like A Version cover of Tame Impala’s ‘Elephant’. It’s unlikely that another Like A Version will win this year, but 100 Warm Tunas is predicting King Stingray’s cover of Coldplay’s ‘Yellow’ to land at #48, Dune Rats’ take on the Angels’ ‘Am I Ever Gonna See Your Face Again’ at #23 and Flume and Toro Y Moi’s version of Bag Raiders’ ‘Shooting Stars’ at #20.
It’s worth noting that the predictions have shifted in the last day as Warm Tunas has implemented a Machine Learning Model – essentially a snazzy bit of analytics that uses historical data patterns. This means Warm Tunas should be able to predict its own errors and biases using that data and predict where they might be wrong this time around. In theory, it should be more accurate. You can read more about how that works here.
So yesterday, Gang of Youths’ ‘in the wake of your leave’ was predicted to top the countdown – today, with the ML Model applied, it’s Flume and MAY-A.
Regardless, it’s a safe bet those top three tracks will be in the running – take a look at the full predicted countdown over here. The Hottest 100 will take place on Saturday, 28th January at midday AEDT, with the Hottest 200 happening the day before from 10am local time.
Further Reading
Thelma Plum, Spacey Jane and More Feature on Albo’s Hottest 100 List
The Race for the Hottest 100 is Currently Neck and Neck
Shortlist Revealed for the 18th Australian Music Prize: Body Type, Tasman Keith, and More
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